From FiveThirtyEight’s CLARE MALONE on North Carolina
But Republicans in the state are heartened by the lower turnout thus far. The state party sent out a release trumpeting what it called the “crumbling” Obama coalition, specifically pointing out the decline in the black vote:
African American Early Voting is down 8.5 percent from this time in 2012.
Caucasian voters early voting is up 22.5 percent from this time in 2012.
As a share of Early Voters, African Americans are down 6.0 percent, (2012: 28.9 percent, 2016: 22.9 percent) and Caucasians are up 4.2 percent, (2012: 65.8 percent, 2016: 70.0 percent).